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  • POLITICS: Michigan sees sharp decline in climate investment

    POLITICS: Michigan sees sharp decline in climate investment

    The phrase “Opposition demands end to ‘engineered politics’” has become a rallying cry in Pakistan’s turbulent political landscape, especially following events in mid-2025. It captures deep frustration among opposition parties over what they see as a manipulated system where unelected institutions—particularly the military and intelligence apparatus—shape electoral outcomes, judicial decisions, and governance behind the scenes. This isn’t new to Pakistan, but recent developments have intensified the call.

    In August 2025, an All Parties Conference (APC) organized under the banner of Tehreek Tahafuz Ayin-e-Pakistan (TTAP)—a coalition of opposition groups—explicitly condemned “engineered politics.” Leaders accused the ruling setup of imposing a “scripted” political order, judicial victimization, and undermining constitutional supremacy. PTI Chairman Imran Khan (or his representatives, given his imprisonment) emphasized that “some are trying to end democracy, but democracy will continue,” vowing to repeal controversial measures like the 26th Amendment and restore judicial independence.

    This demand echoes historical patterns in Pakistan, where civilian governments often face accusations of being propped up or undermined by establishment forces.

    What Does “Engineered Politics” Really Mean in Pakistan?

    “Engineered politics” refers to deliberate interference by non-elected powers—most commonly the military establishment—to influence political processes. This can include:

    • Pre-poll manipulation — Shaping alliances, disqualifying candidates, or favoring certain parties through media control or resource allocation.
    • Electoral engineering — Alleged rigging, delayed delimitations, or selective enforcement of rules.
    • Post-poll control — Pressuring governments via no-confidence motions, judicial interventions, or security leverage.

    In Pakistan’s context, the term often points to the military’s role. Critics argue it has orchestrated governments since the 1950s, with examples like the 1990s alliances against Benazir Bhutto or the 2018 rise of PTI (widely seen as establishment-backed before turning sour).

    The opposition’s 2025 push highlighted:

    • Rejection of the 2024 election results as fraudulent.
    • Demands for a neutral Election Commission of Pakistan (ECP).
    • Calls to abolish bodies like the Special Investment Facilitation Council (SIFC), viewed as bypassing civilian authority.

    One veteran politician at the APC reportedly said it felt like watching a play where the script was written long before the actors took the stage— a sentiment many ordinary Pakistanis share after years of instability.

    Historical Context: A Pattern of Interference

    Pakistan’s democracy has never been fully free from external hands. From Gen. Ayub Khan’s controlled democracy in the 1960s to Zia-ul-Haq’s Islamization and party-less polls, military rule set precedents for “managed” politics.

    In the democratic era post-1988:

    • The 1990s saw President Ghulam Ishaq Khan and the military dismiss governments.
    • The 2000s Musharraf era featured the “king’s party” PML-Q.
    • Even after 2008, accusations persisted—Nawaz Sharif’s 2017 disqualification via Panama Papers was called engineered by supporters.

    The 2018 elections brought PTI to power amid claims of establishment support. By 2022, Imran Khan’s fallout with the military led to his ouster via no-confidence vote, followed by his 2023-2024 arrests and PTI’s suppression.

    The 2024 polls were widely disputed. International observers noted restrictions on freedoms, while local groups like FAFEN highlighted irregularities. A senior official allegedly admitted to manipulation, fueling the “engineered” narrative.

    This cycle erodes trust. Voters feel their ballots don’t matter when outcomes seem pre-decided.

    Key Events Leading to the 2025 Opposition Outcry

    The TTAP APC in August 2025 was a turning point. Convened amid PTI leaders’ convictions tied to May 9, 2023 incidents (attacks on military sites after Khan’s arrest), it united disparate parties.

    Demands included:

    • Immediate release of political prisoners.
    • Lifting media curbs.
    • Repeal of the 26th Amendment (seen as curbing judicial independence).
    • A new Charter of Democracy to prevent interference.

    Leaders described a “fascist” push to eliminate opposition. One called the prior day’s sentences a “black day” for democracy.

    This built on earlier protests. The opposition boycotted or challenged assemblies, vowing street action if demands weren’t met.

    Impacts on Democracy and Governance

    “Engineered politics” harms Pakistan deeply.

    Pros and Cons of Alleged Engineering (from Different Perspectives)

    AspectPro-Engineering View (Supporters/Realists)Anti-Engineering View (Opposition/Critics)
    StabilityPrevents chaos; ensures continuity in crisesCreates instability through resentment and protests
    Economic PolicyAllows decisive reforms (e.g., IMF deals via SIFC)Bypasses accountability, leading to elite capture
    SecurityMilitary input counters threats effectivelyPoliticizes security, alienates civilians
    Electoral Integrity“Corrects” populist excessesUndermines voter sovereignty, breeds cynicism
    Long-term DemocracyTemporary for “maturity”Delays genuine democratic consolidation

    Critics argue it perpetuates hybrid regimes—civilian facades with military dominance—weakening institutions.

    Economically, uncertainty deters investment. Politically, it fuels extremism as people lose faith in ballots.

    Personally, I’ve spoken to friends in Lahore who voted enthusiastically in 2018 only to feel betrayed later. One said, “We thought change was coming, but it was just a different script with the same director.”

    What the Opposition Proposes as Solutions

    The TTAP declaration outlined concrete steps:

    • Neutral, reformed ECP.
    • Independent judiciary (repeal 26th Amendment).
    • End to “hybrid” governance.
    • New Charter of Democracy emphasizing civilian supremacy.

    Some suggest international mediation or observer missions for future polls, though sovereignty concerns arise.

    Others call for grassroots mobilization, youth engagement, and civil society pressure.

    People Also Ask (Common Related Searches)

    • What is engineered politics in Pakistan?
      It describes manipulation of political processes by unelected institutions, especially the military, to favor certain outcomes or parties.
    • Why did opposition hold APC in 2025?
      To unite against alleged fraud in 2024 elections, judicial curbs, and political victimization under the current setup.
    • What is the 26th Amendment in Pakistan?
      A 2024 constitutional change critics say weakens judicial independence by altering appointment processes and powers.
    • Has engineered politics happened before in Pakistan?
      Yes—examples include 1990s dismissals, Musharraf’s era, and claims around 2018 and 2022 transitions.
    • Can opposition succeed in ending it?
      Success depends on unity, public support, and willingness for compromise; past efforts have yielded mixed results.

    FAQ: Addressing Key Questions

    1. Is engineered politics unique to Pakistan?
    No. Similar dynamics appear in hybrid regimes worldwide (e.g., Turkey, Hungary), where elected leaders coexist with powerful non-elected actors. Pakistan’s case stands out due to the military’s historical dominance.

    2. How does it affect ordinary citizens?
    It leads to policy inconsistency, economic woes, and eroded trust. When governments change abruptly or face legitimacy crises, development stalls—think delayed projects or IMF dependency.

    3. What role does the judiciary play?
    Courts have both enabled and challenged engineering. Recent amendments sparked fears of executive/judicial overreach, prompting opposition vows to restore balance.

    4. Could protests force change?
    They’ve pressured concessions before, but repression risks escalation. Sustainable reform needs parliamentary consensus and institutional reforms.

    5. What’s next for Pakistani democracy?
    The path forward requires dialogue. If opposition and government bridge divides on shared issues (economy, security), progress is possible. Otherwise, cycles of crisis continue.

    Pakistan stands at a crossroads. The opposition’s demand to end engineered politics isn’t just rhetoric—it’s a plea for genuine civilian rule. Whether it leads to reform or more confrontation depends on all stakeholders choosing democracy over control.

  • The Take: What lies ahead for world politics in 2026?

    The Take: What lies ahead for world politics in 2026?

    As we settle into the second month of 2026, the global stage feels less like a chessboard and more like a stormy sea—waves of uncertainty crashing from every direction. I remember back in early 2025, when Trump’s second term began, many of us wondered if the world would fracture or somehow find new anchors. Now, halfway through February, the picture is sharpening. This year isn’t about dramatic collapses or sudden peace; it’s about muddling through a decaying liberal order, weaponized interconnections, and a U.S.-led revolution in global norms that’s forcing everyone to adapt or get left behind.

    The big story? The United States under President Trump is actively unwinding the post-World War II system it helped build. Think tariffs not as blunt tools but as precision strikes—targeted, sector-specific, and often paired with carve-outs for allies who play ball. It’s transactional diplomacy on steroids, and it’s reshaping alliances faster than anyone expected.

    The U.S. Political Revolution and Its Global Ripples

    Trump’s approach isn’t just domestic theater; it’s exporting instability. His administration treats tariffs and economic levers as core national security instruments, pressuring supply chains and rewarding strategic alignment.

    • Targeted trade friction continues, with more “midstream” shifts hitting specific industries.
    • The Supreme Court’s looming decision on IEEPA tariffs could be a game-changer—validating broad powers or clipping them, either way setting precedents for years.

    This U.S. pivot creates a vacuum. Europe struggles to fill it, with political centers collapsing in major powers. Eurasia Group calls 2026 a “tipping point year,” where America becomes the principal source of global risk through internal power consolidation.

    In the midterms this November, history suggests a backlash. Midterms often brake presidential overreach, and with polarization extreme, Democrats could gain ground—potentially flipping the House and making the Senate a nail-biter. Generic ballot polls show Democrats up 5-6 points nationally, which might translate to 20-25 House seats and enough Senate pickups to shift control. If Trump can’t deliver on cost-of-living promises, his coalition frays further.

    Ongoing Conflicts: Ukraine, the Middle East, and Beyond

    The Russia-Ukraine war grinds on without a clear winner. Russian advances are glacial—meters per day in places like Pokrovsk—yet casualties mount horrifically. Combined losses could hit 2 million by spring. Putin has no viable plan for outright victory, but fighting persists amid infrastructure attacks. Diplomatic pushes for ceasefires gain traction, possibly involving Türkiye or Gulf states, but territorial gaps remain huge. Ukraine needs massive aid to hold, and any deal might freeze lines rather than resolve them.

    In the Middle East, it’s mixed—no full disaster, no breakthrough. Abraham Accords hold some stability between Israel and Arab states, curbing Iran’s subversion, but tensions simmer. Tehran’s regime grows more oppressive internally while losing regional sway.

    China’s Shadow and the Indo-Pacific Tightrope

    China emerges as the new heavyweight, replacing Russia in global influence. Xi faces temptation to shift from defense to offense on Taiwan—perhaps testing resolve amid perceived U.S. reluctance. Military preparations aim for 2027 readiness, but 2026 brings provocations: more PLA drills, supply-chain integration pushes, and United Front efforts to sway Taiwanese politics via opposition figures.

    Taiwan pushes back hard, ramping defense spending toward 3% of GDP (and eyeing 5% by 2030). Foreign Minister Lin Chia-lung calls out China’s “hegemonic mindset,” refusing to yield to intimidation. A “perfect storm” brews if U.S. commitment wavers, but outright conflict remains risky and costly for all.

    Europe’s Siege and the Broader Fragmentation

    Europe faces multiple fronts: Russian pressure, Chinese industrial overcapacity clashing with EU interests, and internal fractures. The political center erodes in key nations, leaving the continent unable to plug America’s retreat. Illiberal waves persist—not a phase, but a structural shift.

    Multilateralism hollows out. Institutions weaken as links between countries turn into weapons—trade, tech, energy all politicized.

    Here’s a quick comparison of key power dynamics in 2026:

    Region/PowerKey ChallengeLikely TrajectoryRisk Level
    United StatesInternal revolution & tariff weaponizationTransactional global orderHigh
    ChinaTemptation toward Taiwan offenseIncreased pressure, not invasionMedium-High
    Russia/UkraineGrinding stalemateCeasefire talks, frozen conflictHigh
    EuropeCenter collapse & external pressuresFragmented responseMedium
    Middle EastIran containment vs. internal fragilityUneven progressMedium

    Pros and Cons of the Emerging Order

    Pros:

    • Forces adaptation—countries diversify supply chains, build resilience.
    • Potential for selective deals (e.g., U.S.-China truce in trade).
    • Sporting/cultural events like FIFA World Cup and Winter Olympics foster soft connections amid tension.

    Cons:

    • Heightened uncertainty—50%+ see turbulent short-term outlook.
    • Economic fragmentation—protectionism rises, growth slows in spots.
    • Humanitarian toll—wars drag, casualties soar.

    People Also Ask

    • What major events are happening in 2026?
      Beyond politics, the FIFA World Cup (hosted across North America) and Winter Olympics in Italy dominate headlines, alongside America’s 250th birthday celebrations.
    • Will there be a major war in 2026?
      No full-scale new conflict is probable, but escalations in Ukraine or Taiwan tensions could flare. Most forecasts point to managed friction over outright war.
    • How will Trump’s policies affect global politics?
      Tariffs and “America First” deepen fragmentation, pressuring allies and rivals alike, potentially reshaping alliances.
    • Is the liberal world order ending?
      It’s decaying—hollowed institutions, weaponized ties—but not collapsing overnight. We’re muddling through an illiberal phase.

    FAQ

    What is the biggest geopolitical risk in 2026?
    U.S. internal shifts and tariff policies top lists, per Eurasia Group and others—creating global ripple effects.

    How might the Ukraine war end in 2026?
    Likely a negotiated freeze rather than victory; diplomatic efforts intensify, but deep divides persist.

    Will China invade Taiwan this year?
    Unlikely—too costly—but pressure ramps via gray-zone tactics and political interference.

    What role do major events like the World Cup play?
    They offer rare moments of unity, countering division and reminding us of shared humanity.

    How can individuals stay informed on world politics?
    Follow think tanks like Chatham House, ECFR, or Geopolitical Futures; cross-check with diverse sources for balance.

    Looking back, I once chatted with a colleague over coffee about how 2025 felt like the calm before the storm. Now in 2026, the storm is here—not apocalyptic, but relentless. The world isn’t falling apart; it’s re-anchoring in unpredictable ways. Nations adapt, alliances shift, and we all navigate the waves. Stay curious, question narratives, and remember: history rarely moves in straight lines. Here’s to hoping 2026 brings more clarity than chaos.